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Wine Report of September 17, 2025

Recent major updates (Italy & global).

Today’s wine world update:

  • The 2025 Italian harvest is estimated at ≈ 47.4 million hectoliters , 8% compared to 2024. Healthy grapes, favorable climate, quality promised to be good-excellent in most regions.
  • Regional production: Southern Italy is growing strongly, with Abruzzo up 25%, Molise 25%, Marche 18%, and Umbria 10%. Tuscany is down approximately 13%. Veneto is stable/slightly increasing compared to 2024.
  • Production surpluses are forecast in some areas, with consumption not appearing to be growing at the same pace. Existing inventories in Italy are quite high.
  • Exports in the first half of 2025: Italy up 1.5% in value and 2.1% in volume compared to the first half of 2024. Some concerns about markets with tariffs, a strong currency (the euro) penalizing exports.
  • Ranking & Awards: In James Suckling’s Top 100 Wines of Italy 2025, the wine of the year is Etna Rosso San Lorenzo 2023 (Tenuta delle Terre Nere) — a sign of how Etna is gaining global clout and credibility.
  • Innovations/sustainability: Increasing use of precise viticultural practices and meticulous health management; interest in technologies such as AI for sensory analysis and spectroscopy to predict grape quality and origin.
  • International Awards: At the 2025 Decanter World Wine Awards , Italy received 138 medals, including six “Best in Show” awards. The constant push toward quality recognized in international competitions is evident.

Prices & Harvest (Mini‑Box)

Region / Variety / SegmentCurrent situationTrend vs last year / vs last few weeksNotes on yield, quality, weather
Generic Italian black grapes (wholesale, counter)~ €4/kg for non-varietal/undifferentiated black grapes.Prices stable compared to recent weeks; slightly higher than the 2024 low for similar varieties.Good health conditions; some critical issues in isolated areas, but overall a positive spring and early summer; modest yields in some denominations to ensure quality.
2025 Italian Harvest (Volume and Regional Distribution)National estimate ≈ 47.4 million hl; Southern and central regions growing, Tuscany declining.8% vs 2024; some regions 20-25% (e.g. Abruzzo, Molise), others physiological reductions (e.g. Tuscany -13%).Expected quality is good to excellent; relatively favorable climate, but regional volatility remains; controlled yields in premium appellations.
Stocks & bulk winesBulk wine prices ex-cellar stable vs. previous month; relative shortage of white wine/must stock; red wine supply/demand more balanced.No strong fluctuations but pressure on costs, reduced availability for certain segments.Especially white wines/musts: risk of supply gap; red wines more protected; climate and phytosanitary management crucial in regions with spring rains/hot summers.

Ideas for professional posts

  1. Title: “2025: Abundant Harvest, but Strategic Balance Needed to Avoid Falling Margins” Corner: Concrete Analysis of Production Surplus: How Companies Can Plan Yield, Promote Premium vs. Volume Wines, Optimize Inventory, and Seek High-Value Markets to Counter Cost Pressure.
  2. Title: “Exporting in 2025: Tariffs, a Strong Euro, and New Safe-Haven Markets” Focus: Details on the impact of US tariffs and the currency; export diversification strategies (Asia, Africa, South America); examples of wineries already moving into alternative markets; international co-marketing.
  3. Title: “Sensory Innovation and Sustainability: The Key to Standing Out in International Rankings” Focus: Presenting how technologies such as AI, spectroscopy, and sustainable vineyard management are no longer optional extras but rather required by critics and consumers; practical cases; and opportunities for those targeting premium brands or prestigious denominations

Morning report for Sunday, September 8, 2025

Designed as strategic support for your professional post in the wine and cellar sector:

Key Updates (5–7 points)

  • California 2025 harvest under pressure : the harvest is expected to be even more critical than 2024, with reduced production, vineyard abandonments, and approximately 100,000 tons of grapes unsold. The bulk market is stagnant and foreign competition is fierce.
  • Chianti turns to alternative markets : faced with fears of new tariffs from the US, the Chianti Consortium is pushing towards South America, Asia, Africa, Canada, and the Middle East to diversify.
  • US tariffs threaten Italian exports : the imposition of a 20% duty on European imports could reduce Italian wine revenues by approximately €323 million annually. Concerns are growing over the potential decline in consumption and product recalls.
  • Global trends favor Italian sparkling wines : despite the general decline, Prosecco continues to support exports. In some markets, demand for premium wines remains resilient.
  • Australia’s wine producers are declining : the number of producers is expected to decline by 13% between 2018 and 2024; in response, new South Australian laws will require grape pricing by the end of September.
  • Fine wine: a growing pillar of luxury : the high-end wine market reached €30 billion in 2024 and remains a strategic asset in the luxury sector, especially in the out-of-home sector (27% from 2022).
  • AI for sustainability and performance : a recent study highlights the role of artificial intelligence in optimizing irrigation, vineyard monitoring, production, and food and wine tourism.

M&A Radar

(There have been no recent transactions or significant rumors in the wine M&A sector at this time. Continued monitoring is recommended.)

Prices & Harvest (Mini Box)

  • Bulk wine prices (Italy, ex-cellar) : According to Ciatti (June 2025), prices are stable compared to the previous month , with limited stocks of white wine and grape juice, while red wine remains balanced between supply and demand.
  • Pre-harvest stocks : Reduced availability of white wine and grape concentrate; normal red wine stocks.
  • 2025 harvest conditions : scenario to monitor, with potential surplus in some areas and macroeconomic price pressure due to a strong euro and slowdown in consumption.

Post Ideas for Your Professional Audience

  1. Title : “California 2025: a harvest season to watch and learn from” Angle : highlights the response model – foresight and adaptation – in an area that is now climatically and commercially advanced.
  2. Title : “Diversification to win: Italy explores new markets despite US tariffs” Angle : tells how Chianti and other players are focusing on alternative areas, transforming a threat into strategic opportunities.
  3. Title : “Artificial Intelligence in the Vineyard: Sustainability That Produces Value” Angle : Illustrates the concrete application of AI in the supply chain (monitoring, wine tourism, production), positioning wineries as centers of innovation and resilience.

Morning Wine Report for September 7, 2025

Updated with the latest news and data on wine and wineries, designed as an operational base for strategic and concrete posts in your role as a trusted partner, with 50 years of experience in the wine sector.

Key Updates (5–7 points)

  • Exports buoyant despite the complex context – In the first half of 2025, Italian wine exports grew by 1.5% in value (€2.8 billion) and 2.1% in volume (703.5 million litres), exceeding the global average.
  • Stocks and physiological reserves in moderate decline – At the end of July 2025, Italian vineyards had approximately 39.8 million hl of wine in stock (–8.8% compared to the previous June), 0.5% on an annual basis; red PDO wines grew (1.8%), while white wines and table wines recorded decreases.
  • 2025 Harvest: Quality Choices in Tuscany, Abundance in Veneto – In Tuscany, 2025 production is expected to drop to 2.4 million hl (from 2.7 million in 2024), with cuts of 10–15% to focus on quality; in Veneto , an additional 100,000 tons of grapes are estimated, in “excellent condition” and with increasing yields.
  • US Tariffs Unresolved but a Strategic Market – Chianti producers are looking to South America, Asia, Africa, and the Middle East as alternative markets, facing tariff threats on the US market (worth approximately €2 billion in 2024).
  • Margin pressure for small businesses – The imposition or threat of tariffs, combined with the strengthening of the euro, threaten the performance of manufacturers, particularly those exporting to the US.
  • Sustainable Innovation: AI Enters the Vineyard – A recent study confirms the positive impact of artificial intelligence on monitoring, irrigation, production, and food and wine tours, as a concrete lever for making wineries more efficient, sustainable, and attractive.

Prices & Harvest (Mini Box)

  • Estimated harvest :
    • Tuscany : approximately 2.4 million hl (–10-15% compared to 2024), from a qualitative perspective
    • Veneto : 100,000 tons of grapes compared to 2024, excellent health conditions, slightly increased yields
  • Stocks :
    • Total wines in stock: 39.79 million hl (–8.8% vs June; 0.5% vs previous year)
    • Red DOP wines: 1.8% trend, white wines decreasing, table wine –0.6%
  • Prices :
    • No recent reports of specific prices for grapes or bulk/bottle wines in today’s sources.

Ideas for Professional Posts

  1. Title : “Quality vs. Quantity: How Tuscany Reacts to the 2025 Harvest” Angle : Talking about the strategic choice of production cut to strengthen quality, with repercussions on positioning and perceived value in international markets.
  2. Title : “Pending US Tariffs: Keys to Understanding and Mitigation Strategies” Focus : Exploring the US dilemma – its strategic value, but also the tariff risks – by illustrating territorial diversification as a concrete lever for protecting business.
  3. Title : “AI in the winery: from the vineyard to the tourist, a smarter supply chain” Focus : Highlighting how the adoption of artificial intelligence tools is innovating the winemaking supply chain, creating operational, sustainable, and experiential value.

Morning Wine Report for September 6, 2025

Key Updates (5–7 essential points).

  • 2025 harvest in Italy : Coldiretti estimates production of approximately 45 million hectoliters (9.5% higher than 2024), with good to excellent quality. However, uncertainty in foreign markets (especially in the US due to tariffs) is weighing on the positioning strategy.
  • Veneto leads the way : a fruitful harvest is expected in both quantity and quality, with production reaching approximately 14 million quintals (3-5% vs. 2024). The region remains the heart of Italian exports (almost €3 billion).
  • Italy: High inventories and an uncertain context : before the start of the harvest, significant production surpluses are expected in several areas, with consumption stagnating and a wine market in stagnation.
  • Italian exports: overall holding steady, US declines in Q2 : In the first six months of 2025, Italian wine exports grew by 1.5% in value (€2.8 billion) and 2.1% in volume (703.5 million liters), outperforming globally. However, the United States saw a 7% decline in volume in Q2 post-stockpiling.
  • Diversification of trade routes : Chianti and Prosecco producers are looking to South America, Asia, Africa, and the Middle East to mitigate tariff risks and preserve the value of their exports.
  • California Harvest in deep crisis : the 2025 harvest looks even more critical than the already dramatic 2024: consumption at an all-time low, agricultural surplus, abandonment and massive uprooting of vineyards (over 100,000 tons of grapes left in the fields).
  • Innovation and sustainability with AI : a recent study highlights how artificial intelligence is making its way into sustainable viticulture, optimizing irrigation, monitoring, production, and wine tourism itineraries through predictive tools and personalized experiences.

M&A Radar

(There are no recent M&A transactions in today’s data.)

Prices & Harvest – Mini-box

VoiceMain details
National harvest≈ 45 M hl (9.5% vs 2024), good to excellent quality.
Veneto≈ 14 M quintals, 3-5 %, solid quality.
Surplus and inventoriesExpected excess production, stagnant consumption and high inventories.
Average DOC-DOCG prices (May-25)E.g. Chianti: €110/hl (-6.4% month); Chianti Classico: €332.50/hl (-1.5% )
  1. Title : “Italian Harvest 2025: Between Abundance and Global Uncertainty, Managing Value” Focus : Highlighting how to transform production growth (Italy and Veneto) into strategic value, managing the surplus with alternative trade routes, premium traceability, and technological leverage.
  2. Title : “Tariffs and consumption at a minimum: Italian wine changes course” Angle : underline the need for geographical diversification (South America, Asia, Africa) and structured communication as a defensive and opportunity choice, beyond the US crisis.
  3. Title : “California in free fall: a lesson for Italian wine” Angle : describing the American crisis (production collapse, abandoned land) as a mirror of systemic risk, stimulating proactive strategic reflection, from yield management to AI.
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