with updated useful insights as a basis for the wine/cellar sector:

Relevant News & Trends (Latest Update)

• Italian wine production for 2025 has been revised downward: Legacoop reports lower-than-expected yields, with a final forecast of approximately 44 million hl, despite the grape quality being considered high.
• The harvest in Italy is more than 75% complete and some regions that had abundant production in 2024 are recording drops of 10-20%.
• In the US market, despite the drop in volumes, the value of the wine market is recovering: the Wine Market Report 2025 (BMO) reports a 4% share of sales value in the United States.
• The Vinitaly.USA 2025 initiative aims to consolidate the presence of Italian wine in the United States with 250 exhibitors and an export volume of 345 million liters in 2024 (US imports $2.25 billion).
• France has secured approval for a €5 billion aid plan to support wine exports to the US amid transatlantic tariff tensions.
• In the UK, Chapel Down winery has cancelled a £32 million project for a new winery, citing slowing domestic demand and the need to rein in investment.
• Artificial intelligence is gaining traction as a strategic tool for sustainability and efficiency: the study “Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable Wine Industry” explores practical applications in viticulture, winemaking, and wine tourism.

M&A Radar

Prices & Harvest (mini box)

• Yields in Italy are disappointing compared to initial estimates, suggesting a realignment of the supply-demand balance that is favorable to supporting prices.
• The production drops particularly affect regions that had had abundant production in 2024 (decreases of 10-20%).
• There is currently no recent public data available on spot prices for grapes or bulk wine, but the context suggests upward pressure for those who can guarantee quality and differentiation.
• Climatic phenomena (drought in the south, rain during the flowering phase in the north) have negatively affected yields, but not – for the moment – the quality of the grapes.

information from the world of wine and wineries.

Recent News (5–7 points)

• Heitz Cellar is changing a historic partnership: for the 2025 harvest, it will no longer purchase all of its grapes from Martha’s Vineyard, breaking a tradition spanning more than 60 years.
• Chapel Down (UK) abandons £32m plan for new winery in Canterbury, citing weak demand for English wine.
• In France, wine production in 2025 is estimated at 37.4 million hectoliters (a slight increase on the previous year) but below the five-year average, due to heat waves and summer drought.
• In the United States, some California wineries are reporting that state bureaucracy is hindering operations, exacerbating an already complex situation in the local wine industry.
• In the first 6 months of 2025, Italian wine exports recorded growth in value of 1.5% (approximately €2.8 billion) and in volume of 2.1% (703.5 million litres) in the main world markets.
• In Australia, the bulk wine market is under pressure: grape purchase prices (“crush prices”) are weak despite a slight recovery in demand.
• The academic study “Artificial intelligence for sustainable wine industry” (July 2025) confirms that AI is increasingly implementable to optimize irrigation, monitoring, winemaking process management, and wine tourism strategies.

M&A Radar / Current Operations

Prices & Harvest (mini box)

• Italy – 2025 harvest Estimated production is around 47.4 million hectolitres , an 8% increase compared to 2024. Grapes generally in good health, favorable climatic conditions in many regions.
• Bulk wine prices & market
  • In Australia: pressure on bulk markets, with weak grape prices and low demand for bulk wine.
  • In the US / California: Expected stable or slight contractions in bulk values, given the persistent weakness of the market.
• Territorial notes
  • In Franciacorta, the harvest began with excellent prospects: healthy grapes, a balanced climate, and an estimated 7% increase in exports.
  • In southern Italy (Puglia, Abruzzo, Calabria), yield increases are recorded (even 15-25%) compared to 2024, while in Tuscany a 15% decrease is reported.

information from the world of wine and wineries.

Recent news (5–7 points)

• Masi Agricola has secured €40 million in financing from a banking syndicate to support strategic and infrastructure objectives, including its “Experiential Hub Monteleone 21.”
• Heitz Cellar (Napa) is breaking with historic tradition: for the 2025 harvest, it will no longer purchase all of Martha’s Vineyard’s production, selling part of the grapes to other producers.
• Chapel Down (UK) abandons £32m winery project in Canterbury, citing stagnant demand for English wines.
• Vinarchy (Pernod Ricard/Accolade merger) has consolidated 11 wineries and its headquarters in Adelaide, focusing on the relaunch of the Hardys, Jacob’s Creek and Campo Viejo brands.
• Table wine sales in the United States are declining: over the last 52 weeks, volume has fallen by 6.2%, reflecting declining demand.
• In Italy, a “bountiful” 2025 harvest is expected: estimates indicate around 47.4 million hectolitres , with growth compared to 2024.
• The academic study “Artificial Intelligence for Sustainable Wine Industry” (July 2025) confirms that AI technologies (machine learning, computer vision, predictive models) can optimize irrigation, soil management, winemaking processes, and the wine tourism experience.

M&A Radar / Current Operations

Prices & Harvest (mini box)

• 2025 Harvest – Italy : estimated at ~47.4 million hectoliters, up from 2024.
• Inventories & Domestic Demand : Food inventories remain stable until July 31, 2025, and the large-scale retail sector is showing positive trends for sparkling wines.
• Prices / trends on bottled / bulk / DOC wines • In Italian large-scale retail trade, DOC wines recorded a -0.9% in value and a -2.4% in volume in 2024; DOCG wines decreased by -1.8% in value / -3.1% in volume. • During 2025, in various markets, a decrease in table wine sales in the United States was recorded (volume -6.2%).
• Climate conditions / yields : alert for water stress and heat waves in some Italian regions — risk of quality decline and regional variability.

information from the world of wine and wineries.

Recent Key Points

• In the first seven months of 2025, Italian wine exports recorded a slight drop in value (-1.1%) compared to the same period in 2024, reaching 1.2 billion euros , while volumes rose by 6.1% (219.5 million litres) — a sign of a compression in the average unit price.
• The US scenario is particularly critical: the average price per litre of exported bottles fell to €5.48 (-6.8%) and bulk wine suffered a contraction in value of -39.5%.
• Weather conditions in Italy are looking favorable: the 2025 harvest is imminent with positive expectations, while in the southern hemisphere, below-average harvests are reported for Chile and Argentina, and good ones for Australia/New Zealand.
• The wine M&A market in 2025 remains active but selective: according to a mid-year review, there have been seven significant transactions in the wine sector so far, while investors favor strategic mergers and premium assets.
• In Oregon, two large vineyard management operators have announced a merger, while Vinarchy (a new vehicle for Pernod Ricard Winemakers) is investing $100 million in winery redevelopments in Australia.
• The study “Artificial Intelligence for Sustainable Wine Industry” (July 2025) highlights how the use of AI in vineyards, wineries, and wine tourism can improve efficiency, sustainability, and personalization of the customer experience.
• In the USA, the historic Heitz winery (Martha’s Vineyard) is changing its approach: starting in 2025, it will no longer exclusively purchase all the bunches of grapes from a single vineyard, opening its sourcing to more producers to enhance the value of the territory.

M&A Radar / Current Operations

Prices & Harvest (mini-box)

• 2025 harvest situation (Italy / Northern Hemisphere): harvest imminent, general positive expectations for quantity and quality.
• Southern Hemisphere: Chile (below average), Argentina (average), Australia/New Zealand (above average production)
• Bulk/bottle prices and markets (Italy → USA): the average price per litre of bottled wine exported to the USA is around €5.48, down 6.8% compared to the previous year.
• Differentiation by segment: Italian sparkling wine continues to grow in value (4.3%) but with a drop in unit price (-8.5%).
• Volumetric vs. price trend: growth in export volumes (in some cases 4-6%) accompanied by compression of unit price lists, a sign of price competition and pressure on margins.