Morning Wine Report for August 29, 2025

“Italian Wine 2025: Challenging Tariffs, New Markets, and Technological Sustainability”.

  1. US tariffs at 15%: a concrete risk for Italian exports
    • Starting from August 1, 2025, a 15% tariff will come into force on European wine, with no exemptions for Italy.
    • According to UIV, the estimated impact could reach up to 317 million euros over the next 12 months.
  2. Exports to the United States still solid, but diversification strategy urgently needed
    • In the first five months of 2025, exports to the USA grew by 5.7% in value (approximately €838.7 million), despite tariffs.
    • Chianti and Prosecco producers are looking to South America, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Canada as alternative strategic outlets.
  3. Complex global markets: certain weakness in real consumption
    • The first quarter of 2025 reports a -9% of exports to non-EU countries in volume , and a real drop in consumption in the United States, Germany and the UK.
    • Stocks remain high: approximately 39.8 million hl as of July 30, 0.5% compared to 2024.
  4. Emerging trends: new tastes and a focus on sustainable innovation
    • Interest in native varietals, canned wines, chillable reds, orange wines, and “food-first” rosés is growing; social conversations about Italian wine are growing by 0.97% YoY .
  5. Sustainability 4.0: AI Enters the Winery and Wine Tourism Industry
    • Recent studies highlight how Artificial Intelligence can optimize vineyard monitoring, irrigation, production, and the wine tourism experience with chatbots, virtual tastings, and personalized systems, supporting efficiency and territorial value.
  • #ExportConscious
  • #EmergingMarketsStrategy
  • #SustainableInnovation

Conclusion

Italian wine faces a crucial moment: tariffs on the US market pose a strategic pressure, but the resilience of exports still allows for recovery. The real challenge is to diversify with coordinated systems towards new markets, respond to stagnant real consumption, and manage inventories. At the same time, value creation today relies on innovative consumer trends and AI-driven sustainable innovation. Your role as a trusted partner , with solidity, vision, and the ability to orchestrate complex operations, becomes crucial to transforming these factors into high-impact strategic choices.

Sources with dates

  • US tariffs 15% from August 1, 2025; estimated impact up to €317 million:
  • US exports 5.7% value (Jan-May 2025):
  • Diversification towards South America, Asia, Africa:
  • Extra-EU exports -9% volume first quarter 2025; stocks 39.8 Mhl as of July 30:
  • Consumer trends 2025 (chillable reds, orange wines, etc.; social 0.97%):
  • AI for sustainability and wine tourism: