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Wine Trends in Italy — Week 20-24 October 2025

Italian wine is going through a complex phase, but not without signs of resilience.

The trend of Italian wines in the world.

ISTAT data show an overall decline in exports in the first seven months of 2025: -0.9% in value and -3.4% in volume, equal to €4.63 billion and 1.23 billion liters. The main contributing factor is the slowdown in the US market, the main outlet for Italian producers, penalized by the new 15% tariffs introduced in August. In the US, Italian wine exports lost 28% in value in the summer two-month period, despite producers’ efforts to lower average prices by 17%.

Despite the challenges, Prosecco PDO continues to drive the sector: 10.2% in value in the first seven months of 2025, with exports worth over €1 billion, accounting for 77.7% of Italian sparkling wine sales. France also performed well, with imports of Italian sparkling wines growing by 7.3%, while the United Kingdom remained a stable market.

The global wine landscape remains tense: overall exports are declining, grape prices are falling by up to 50% in some regions like Umbria and Tuscany, and Italian wineries are struggling with excess inventories. Profitability challenges and the decline in domestic consumption—currently just over 30 liters per capita annually—are forcing the sector to rethink its economic models.

At the same time, the importance of wine tourism and innovation strategies is growing: new forms of sustainable packaging, “no- and low-alcohol” wines, and private labels are becoming tools to attract a more informed and selective consumer. However, Europe is still slow to transform wineries into true tourist destinations: only 49% of European companies have offered wine tourism activities for more than ten years, compared to 60% in the rest of the world.

The restaurant sector, after the post-pandemic euphoria, is seeing a decline in volumes but maintaining revenues thanks to the increase in average prices (10%). White wines and sparkling wines are holding up better than reds, while awareness is growing of the need to offer accessible quality and make wine “cool” for younger generations as well.

Despite the shadows, Italian wine remains a pillar of the national identity and economy: first in import share to the United States (38%) and a cultural symbol at the NIAF 50th anniversary celebrations in Washington DC. The difficulties of 2025 do not erase the excellence of the wine system, but they do require an evolution: greater efficiency, sustainability and innovation to remain competitive in an increasingly selective global market.

Wine Report of October 24 2025

on the main news in the world of wine and wineries, with a strategic eye for those working in the sector.

Key updates

  • Italian wine exports in the first six months of 2025 recorded a modest increase: 1.5% in value (approximately €2.8 billion) and 2.1% in volume (~703.5 million litres).
  • However, the trend in recent months shows signs of weakness: for example, Italian exports to the USA in the months of July-August 2025 fell by 28% in value.
  • Globally, world wine trade is slowing: for example, the bulk wine market is reporting production surpluses and struggling prices.
  • Regarding production in Italy: the 2025 harvest is estimated to grow (~47.4 million hl, 8% vs. 2024) with healthy grapes, but in some regions—e.g. Tuscany—a voluntary reduction in yields is recorded (from ~2.7 to ~2.4 million hl) to protect quality and reputation.
  • On the quality and environmental front, many operators report grapes “in good condition, concentrated” in various areas, for example Primitivo in Puglia, although concerns remain about drought and stockpiling.
  • Innovation: Growing attention is being paid to the use of AI in the winemaking industry (viticulture, production, and wine tourism) as a lever for sustainability and competitive differentiation.

M&A Radar

Deal / RumorParties involvedSize (if known)GeographySource
Acquisition of the Valle Talloria business unit of Italian Wine Brands by Caffo Group 1915 (Piedmont)Caffo Group 1915 – Italian Wine Brandsundeclared (production unit)Italy, Piedmont
Acquisition of Parsec by the winemaking company EnartisEnartis – Parsecnot made publicGlobal (winemaking equipment supplier)

Prices & Harvest – Mini Box

  • Grape prices : In Italy, wholesale prices for wine grapes range around €40-60 per quintal in the Veneto/Vicenza DOCs.
  • Bulk wine trend : The bulk wine market in Italy is showing signs of falling prices due to high supply.
  • 2025 harvest : Italian estimates indicative of ~47.4 million hl (8% vs 2024) but with containment choices in some areas (Tuscany estimated ~2.4 million hl vs ~2.7 in 2024) to preserve quality.
  • Climate/Quality Notes : Healthy grapes, good concentration, especially in areas like Puglia for Primitivo; however, caution is needed in southern areas where drought remains a risk.

Wine Report of October 23, 2025

on the main news in the world of wine and wineries, with a strategic eye for those working in the sector.

Key updates

  • Italian wine exports in the first six months of 2025 recorded a modest increase: 1.5% in value (approximately €2.8 billion ) and 2.1% in volume (~703.5 million litres).
  • However, the trend in recent months shows signs of weakness: for example, in the first eight months Italian exports to the USA fell by 28% (July-August 2025 vs 2024) in value.
  • Globally, world wine trade recorded a decrease in value of -2.3% and in volume of -3.7% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
  • Regarding production in Italy: the 2025 harvest is estimated at ~47.4 million hl, 8% less than 2024; in some regions, however (e.g. Tuscany), a voluntary reduction in yields has been recorded (from ~2.7 million hl to ~2.4).
  • On the quality and environmental front: the harvest is reported as “in healthy conditions, concentrated grapes” in many areas, for example for Primitivo in Puglia.
  • Innovation: Growing attention is being paid to the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in viticulture, production, and marketing in the wine industry; recent studies highlight the role of AI in sustainable resource management and competitive differentiation.
  • Under M&A: Tenuta Ulisse’s acquisition of the prestigious Campania winery Montevetrano was formalized in September 2025 (White Bridge Investments Group).

M&A Radar

Deal / RumorParties involvedSize (if known)GeographySource
Acquisition of Montevetrano by Tenuta Ulisse (owned by White Bridge Investments II Spa)Ulisse Estate – MontevetranounpublishedItaly, Campania
Acquisition of the Italian Tannico platform by the French group Castel-Vins (formerly Campari Group & Moët Hennessy)Castel-Vins – Tan

Prices & Harvest – Mini Box

2025 Harvest (Italy): Estimated ~47.4 million hl (8% vs. 2024) with good quality reported. Territorial Yields: Tuscany estimated ~2.4 million hl (from ~2.7 million hl in 2024) due to the decision to limit production. Bulk Grape/Wine Prices: According to market reports, bulk wine prices in Italy are expected to remain stable or show slight upward pressure for certain varieties in 2025; for example, reduced availability has supported “high” prices, especially for in-demand varieties. Weather and Quality Notes: Generally favorable weather conditions in many Italian regions with healthy grapes and good concentrations; however, caution is needed in southern areas susceptible to drought (e.g., Puglia, Sicily).

Wine Report of October 22, 2025

on the main news in the world of wine and wineries, with a strategic eye for those working in the sector.

Major updates

  • Italian wine exports in the first seven months of 2025 recorded a value of approximately €4.63 billion (-0.9% vs. the same period in 2024) and a volume equal to 1.23 billion litres (-3.4%).
  • Italian exports to the United States, in the period July-August 2025, show a decrease of -28% in value , despite an average reduction in prices of -17%.
  • The EU-Mercosur Agreement receives the green light from the European Commission: it represents a potential strategic diversification of the markets for Italian wine towards South America.
  • The M&A market in the wine and spirits segment in Europe is at a 27-year low, with only around 38 deals recorded in the sector.
  • As for the 2025 harvest in Italy: very positive signs from many areas—high grape quality, yields to be monitored in some areas where drought continues to be a concern.
  • In the fine-wines/international auctions segment, France sees an estimated 2025 production decline to 36 million hl (-1% year-on-year, -16% vs. five-year average) due to heat waves and drought.
  • Innovative trends: The adoption of AI in the wine sector—viticulture, wine tourism, and production—is highlighted as a strategic lever for sustainability, efficiency, and competitive differentiation.

M&A Radar

Transaction/rumor: No major Italian names have recently been disclosed with monetary details; however, the segment is experiencing a sharp contraction in deals. Parties involved: Generic – European wine producers/brands and spirits groups . Size/value: Undisclosed (trend toward small targets). Geography: Europe (Italy indirectly involved). Comments: M&A activity is focused on premium or niche brands (organic, luxury, sparkling wines) in an evolving oligopolistic context.

Prices & Harvest

  • Fresh grape prices (2025 campaign – Italy): indicative range for generic grapes between ~US$ 3.68 and 5.52/kg (≈ €3.40-5.10), increases compared to the two previous years.
  • Bulk wine prices in Italy: recent examples – Bolgheri Vermentino ~€320/hl; Toscana red ~€200/hl; Maremma Toscana organic red ~€155/hl.
  • Yields and quality of the 2025 harvest: Many areas report healthy grapes, good concentration, and ripeness (e.g., Puglia 40% vs. 2024); however, risks related to heat and drought persist in Puglia and Sicily.
  • Export price trend for bottles in Italy: average export of bottles was ~€4.43/l in a recent period in Italy.
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