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Wine Report of October 16, 2025

most relevant news for those working in the wine sector (Italy and globally).

Highlights

  • Italian exports in the first half of 2025 showed a slight resilience : 1.5% in value (≈ €2.8 billion) and 2.1% in volume (≈ 703.5 million litres).
  • Globally, wine production in 2025 is estimated at a 63-year low, with widespread difficulties in the main producing countries.
  • The bulk wine and grape market is experiencing stagnant prices, high inventories, and sluggish demand: the market is “slow,” according to Ciatti’s reports.
  • Under regulatory pressure, Italy (like Europe in general) now faces a uniform 15% tariff on wine imports to the United States (from August 2025), which penalizes the most sensitive segments.
  • In the technological field, artificial intelligence is emerging as a strategic lever for sustainability, vineyard monitoring, predictive models, and personalized wine tourism.
  • Despite some areas showing positive prospects (e.g. companies managing acquisition dossiers), the M&A market in the European spirits sector is reporting very low volumes, with M&A activity in the EMEA “spirits / beverages” sector at a 27-year low.

M&A Radar

Deal / rumorParties involvedSize (if known)Geography / focusSource and date
Internal dossiers reported by Italian Wine BrandsItalian Wine Brands (IWB)not disclosedItaly / wine sectorIWB says it receives daily dossiers for new acquisitions
General weak trend in the alcohol sectormany companies evaluate projectsmany deals remain stalledEurope / beverage sector“Europe’s alcohol dealmaking needs hangover cure”

Prices & Harvest (mini box)

  • Generic black grape prices in Italy (latest report): approximately €4/kg for non-varietal/undifferentiated grapes. Trend compared to the previous year: slight overall increase in grape prices, highlighted in global reports, although affected by high inventories.
  • Yields / Yields / Weather Conditions: For 2025, many areas report that production will be below the five-year average, with adverse weather conditions in various areas.
  • Outlook for Italy (bulk wine focus): recovery forecast after two difficult years, with estimated production improving from recent lows.
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